Early applications of Bayes' rule?

"Theory that would not die: how Bayes' rule cracked the Enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, and emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy" by Sharon Bertsch McGrayne. Just came across it, and it appears to be a very promising read.

The very first page mentions some practical problems that Bayes' rule helped solve in its early days:
- To demonstrate the innocence of Captain Alfred Dreyfus, a French artillery officer
- To set rates for insurance premiums
- To decode German Enigma cipher thereby arguably saving the Allies from losing the WWII
- To locate a missing hydrogen bomb and to locate Soviet submarines
- To assess the likelihood of a nuclear accident
- To verify the authorship of the Federalist Papers.

Each of these applications is worth a look :-)

Comments

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